Overall the budget looks suspiciously 'creative' and the projected 'budget surplus' fairly optimistic given that budget projections have not ended up being terribly close to reality in previous Labor budgets. In any case, the actual 'surplus' won't be known until after the next Federal election, so I guess the surplus is being manufactured more as a political tool for Labor's re-election campaign than as a genuine economic tool. Even if the small surpluses projected in the budget for forward years does materialise, the amounts will be totally inadequate to cover any meaningful 'stimulus spending' in the event of another GFC impacting Australia down the track.
On a personal level, we'll miss out on all the budget 'goodies' such as the cash handouts to compensate 'working families' for the impact of the carbon tax of cost of living or to help paying education expenses for our kids, as our combined family 'adjusted' taxable income is just over the FTB A cut-off. As far as Centrelink is concerned, any net investment losses are added back in when calculating our 'income'. I'm sorely tempted to liquidate some of my stock investments that are still in the red, and use the proceeds to pay off a large chunk of the corresponding margin loans. It makes no sense to continue to use borrowed funds to invest when the interest rate on the borrowed funds are stuck around 8%-10% and total ROI (dividends and capital gains) is less than 5%. Since the GFC I've been hoping that the eventual post-GFC recovery would boost the Australian stock market (and hence put my geared investments back in the black), but that has started to look unlikely in the medium term, with the ASX200 remaining below 4500 (well below the pre-GFC high of 6800+) despite the 'mining boom' and Australia supposedly having one of the best performing economies in the developed world, post GFC. How this can be when the US stock market is back to pre-GFC levels despite their enormous government deficit and fire-sale housing market is a bit of a mystery to me.
The changes to the tax rates for 2012-13 for low-middle income earners will mean that DW will pay less tax on her part-time salary and her share of the rental property's net income, and the lowered average tax rates applicable to taxable incomes below 80,000 (shown in the graph below) will mean there is even less point for me to use negatively geared stock investments to reduce my taxable income. However, the raised tax-free threshold is nowhere near as generous as it first appears, as most of the effect of raising the tax-free threshold to $18,200 will be offset by phasing out the Low Income Tax Offset. And by raising the bottom two tax rates at the same time as raising the tax-free threshold, the tax savings really only apply to those earning under $80,000 pa. Overall I think the tax changes will mean DW gets an extra $10 a week or so in her pay packet, while I'll be better off by about 6 cents a week!
With the higher ($50,000 vs. $25,000) annual cap on concessionally taxed superannuation contributions (eg. salary sacrifice and SGL amounts) for those over 50 having less than 500,000 in their superannuation account now not scheduled to come into effect until 2014 (assuming it eventually does happen!), next financial year may be a good opportunity to wind back some of my geared stock investments and plan to investment more of my salary via superannuation rather than using after-tax income to make tax-deductible interest payments on investment loans.
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Enough Wealth
I lost half a million dollars on the stock market in just twelve months! Learn how you, too can become an ex-millionaire with almost no effort!
Wednesday, 9 May 2012
Australian Federal Budget 2012
Labels:
budget
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Sunday, 29 April 2012
Most popular posts
I'm not sure that these are my "best" or most useful/informative posts, but according to blogger they are the most popular posts on this site. Go figure.
The Story of Story and Clark Pianos
Mar 20, 2009, 1 comment
401K Account Balances by Age
Aug 27, 2007
Coin counting machine at CommBank
Sep 26, 2009, 4 comments
Financial Literacy for High School Students
Mar 15, 2008, 4 comments
Why the First Million is the Hardest
May 20, 2007, 3 comments
Property Price Indices
Apr 12, 2012
McDonalds pulls the plug on free access to Maths Online
Dec 21, 2011, 2 comments
Displaying the All Ordinaries Index on Desktop
Dec 31, 2008, 1 comment
Subscribe to Enough Wealth. Copyright 2006-2008
The Story of Story and Clark Pianos
Mar 20, 2009, 1 comment
401K Account Balances by Age
Aug 27, 2007
Coin counting machine at CommBank
Sep 26, 2009, 4 comments
Financial Literacy for High School Students
Mar 15, 2008, 4 comments
Why the First Million is the Hardest
May 20, 2007, 3 comments
Property Price Indices
Apr 12, 2012
McDonalds pulls the plug on free access to Maths Online
Dec 21, 2011, 2 comments
Displaying the All Ordinaries Index on Desktop
Dec 31, 2008, 1 comment
Subscribe to Enough Wealth. Copyright 2006-2008
Another rant against the banks
The SMH has an article about banks data mining to work out which of their customers might be "susceptible" to product offers such as investment funds, superannuation, or increased credit limits. While there are certainly cases of people getting into trouble with excessive/inappropriate levels of credit being provided by banks, I can't see that simply sending people information (when they've "opted in" to receiving it from their bank) about products they are likely to actually want to accept is such a bad thing. What does annoy me a bit is when I receive such product information in the mail, read and discard it, only to be phoned up a few days later by some sales rep wanting to confirm that I received the information. All too often I have to say several times that I don't want to product being offered, and eventually have to hang up on the call, as the sales rep keeps trying to "explain" the wonderful features of the product being pushed. Rather than ban product information/offers being sent to customers whose data suggest that are more likely than average to want the product, the more sensible regulation would be to enforce a "no means no" policy for sales staff. So if a sales rep doesn't terminate a sales call the first time a customers says "no thanks", you could make a complaint (and the recorded conversation would be checked by the relevant complaint authority to check the sales rep was following the guidelines).
Subscribe to Enough Wealth. Copyright 2006-2012
Subscribe to Enough Wealth. Copyright 2006-2012
Thursday, 12 April 2012
Property Price Indices
Browsing through Moomin's recent posts, I was reminded of the Australian Property Price indices RPdata started publishing recently. Aside from daily index values for each capital city market, they also have a rolling 12-month chart of the indices available here. This chart shows that Sydney property prices have improved a bit since hitting a low point in December 2011. Hopefully this means that my property investment price estimates will also increas in coming months, as my monthly NW calculations rely on monthly sales data for a specific post code area, and have a lag of about three months (ie. my March NW property figure was calculated using the 12-mo to end of Jan price data).
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Subscribe to Enough Wealth. Copyright 2006-2012
Labels:
Australian property market
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Tuesday, 10 April 2012
Net Worth Update: March 2012
During the Easter long weekend I finally got around to updating my monthly net worth figures for the period Sep 2011 - Mar 2012. Nothing too exciting happened during this period - the Australian stock market dipped in late 2011 due to concerns with the PIGS debt crises in Europe and also a slow-down in the Chinese economy which is bringing global commodity prices off their peaks. But it has recovered most of this dip in recent months. And over the past year the Australian residential property market has been dropping, although the Sydney market had one of the smallest capital city declines - only around 10%. The property market (at least in Sydney) showed signs of levelling off during the first quarter of 2012, and might respond positively if the Reserve Bank cuts interest rates another 0.25% next month.
In September there was a change in the monthly property sales data available for the suburbs where we own residential property, and I took the opportunity the re-jig the formulae used to estimate the current market values of our properties, so the estimates are closer to the actual prices similar properties have sold for recently. This resulted in a one-off drop in the valuation of my property portfolio of about $40,000 as I can't be bothered to spread the $40,000 adjustment over the past 8 years over price estimates.
There's not much point in posting all the monthly figures since September, as they are available from networthiq (see the chart in the RH margin).
In my share portfolio not much has changed - my Fosters shares [FGL] were liquidated via the 'scheme of arrangement', and I used most of the proceeds to reduce my margin loan balance a bit, although I did reinvest about half the money in two ETF that are linked to the ASX200 - the iShares S&p/ASX High Dividend ETF [code IHD], and the Russell High Dividend Australian Shares ETF [code RDV].
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In September there was a change in the monthly property sales data available for the suburbs where we own residential property, and I took the opportunity the re-jig the formulae used to estimate the current market values of our properties, so the estimates are closer to the actual prices similar properties have sold for recently. This resulted in a one-off drop in the valuation of my property portfolio of about $40,000 as I can't be bothered to spread the $40,000 adjustment over the past 8 years over price estimates.
There's not much point in posting all the monthly figures since September, as they are available from networthiq (see the chart in the RH margin).
In my share portfolio not much has changed - my Fosters shares [FGL] were liquidated via the 'scheme of arrangement', and I used most of the proceeds to reduce my margin loan balance a bit, although I did reinvest about half the money in two ETF that are linked to the ASX200 - the iShares S&p/ASX High Dividend ETF [code IHD], and the Russell High Dividend Australian Shares ETF [code RDV].
Assets___________$ Amount Stocks_*_________-$34,760 Retirement_______$385,727 Properties_______$890,260 Debts____________$ Amount Home Mortgage(s)_$359,278 Net Worth________$881,948* the Stocks figure is portfolio value - margin loans. As my portfolio value (and margin loan debt) is around $500,000 relatively small movements in the stock market produce huge percentage swings in the net value of my stock portfolio each month.
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Labels:
Net worth
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Wednesday, 21 December 2011
McDonalds pulls the plug on free access to Maths Online
I think that I had previously posted that Maths Online is a great study tool for secondary students (or advanced year 5/6 students) and how it was great that McDonalds was sponsoring access to it for all Australian students...
Well, the SMH had an article today revealing that McDonalds had decided to wind back its sponsorship, so that from next year only McDonalds employees will get free access (available while on their MeTime breaks!).
I think this is a poor decision by McDonalds, and I sent them a comment today (via their website feeback form) telling them as much.
As you can see below, their response wasn't very satisfactory, especially in light of the TV ad campaign they had previously run trumpeting the expansion of their sponsorship to make Maths Online available free to all Australian students (without any mention of a time limit)...
"We look to fund projects that support our employees and compliment the skills they learn at McDonald's by supporting their studies at school. When we decided to finance the program for all secondary students, it was always for a three year period and that's now come to an end. We have been pleased to be able to support such a great initiative.
We are still providing the service to our 85,000+ employees, so if you have a family member who works at McDonald's they will be able to access it through the internal MeTime website."
Hopefully if enough customers complain about this decision McDonalds may change their mind.
Otherwise I'll have to save up the annual fee by cutting out my occasional meal at McDonalds ;)
Well, the SMH had an article today revealing that McDonalds had decided to wind back its sponsorship, so that from next year only McDonalds employees will get free access (available while on their MeTime breaks!).
I think this is a poor decision by McDonalds, and I sent them a comment today (via their website feeback form) telling them as much.
As you can see below, their response wasn't very satisfactory, especially in light of the TV ad campaign they had previously run trumpeting the expansion of their sponsorship to make Maths Online available free to all Australian students (without any mention of a time limit)...
"We look to fund projects that support our employees and compliment the skills they learn at McDonald's by supporting their studies at school. When we decided to finance the program for all secondary students, it was always for a three year period and that's now come to an end. We have been pleased to be able to support such a great initiative.
We are still providing the service to our 85,000+ employees, so if you have a family member who works at McDonald's they will be able to access it through the internal MeTime website."
Hopefully if enough customers complain about this decision McDonalds may change their mind.
Otherwise I'll have to save up the annual fee by cutting out my occasional meal at McDonalds ;)
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Monday, 5 December 2011
Finally, a High Distinction
My uni results for last semester came out this morning, and I finally got an HD. 'Galactic Astronomy and Cosmology' (aka GAC) was probably the most difficult of the subjects I've completed so far towards my Master of Astronomy degree, so I was a little surprised to get an HD. Looks like none of the other MAstron students found this subject any easier than I did.
I recently came across the blog of Rick Boozman, a 58-year-old retired software developer who recently completed his MAstron from JCU (with nearly straight HDs!), was awarded the University Medal, and is now working on his PhD in astrophysics. Its reassuring to see another mature age student has successfully progressed from the JCU Mastron degree to a PhD, although my results aren't quite up to his standard ;)
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I recently came across the blog of Rick Boozman, a 58-year-old retired software developer who recently completed his MAstron from JCU (with nearly straight HDs!), was awarded the University Medal, and is now working on his PhD in astrophysics. Its reassuring to see another mature age student has successfully progressed from the JCU Mastron degree to a PhD, although my results aren't quite up to his standard ;)
Subscribe to Enough Wealth. Copyright 2006-2011
Labels:
Master of Astronomy
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Friday, 4 November 2011
Wealth - compare global, act personal
The Credit Suisse Research Institute brought out their second annual 'Global Wealth Report' last month (link to free pdf here). It makes interesting reading, although its a bit depressing as it shows that my personal wealth accumulation has been badly underperforming both global and Australian benchmarks since the GFC. That can probably be accounted for by comparing my distribution of financial and real assets and debt load compared with the national average, as shown below:
This shows that although my financial:real asset ratio is similar to the national average for Australian adults (I hold about 4x the average amount of financial assets and 3x the average amount of real assets ie. property), I have much higher debt levels - 8x the national average (via property mortgages and using leverage for my financial asset investments). Overall, my net worth is 2.3x the average for Australian adults, but that is rather disappointing given my age, qualifications, and even my salary. With such high levels of gearing, my wealth accumulation strategy relies on a return to long-term trend rates of asset appreciation sooner rather than later. Otherwise, the servicing costs on carrying a large amount of debt at a time when asset prices remain flat will mean my wealth continues to stagnate until I'm eventually forced to reduce my gearing levels as I approach retirement.
ps. I haven't updated my net worth figures for the past two months - partly because I was busy doing our tax returns and a back-log of uni assignments, but also because falling Sydney property prices and a declining stock market meant that the results were bound to be disappointing. I'll probably get the figures up to date next week, once my uni exam is out of the way.
This shows that although my financial:real asset ratio is similar to the national average for Australian adults (I hold about 4x the average amount of financial assets and 3x the average amount of real assets ie. property), I have much higher debt levels - 8x the national average (via property mortgages and using leverage for my financial asset investments). Overall, my net worth is 2.3x the average for Australian adults, but that is rather disappointing given my age, qualifications, and even my salary. With such high levels of gearing, my wealth accumulation strategy relies on a return to long-term trend rates of asset appreciation sooner rather than later. Otherwise, the servicing costs on carrying a large amount of debt at a time when asset prices remain flat will mean my wealth continues to stagnate until I'm eventually forced to reduce my gearing levels as I approach retirement.
ps. I haven't updated my net worth figures for the past two months - partly because I was busy doing our tax returns and a back-log of uni assignments, but also because falling Sydney property prices and a declining stock market meant that the results were bound to be disappointing. I'll probably get the figures up to date next week, once my uni exam is out of the way.
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Labels:
Wealth
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Monday, 5 September 2011
New Worth Update: August 2011
A fourth month of declining net worth. My geared stock portfolio dropped further into negative equity, which meant that our SMSF also had a bad month, as it is mostly invested in the stock market (via Vanguard High Growth Fund and some ASX200 CFDs (IQ)).
The valuations for our Sydney properties also dropped slightly, but so far Sydney property prices are holding up slightly better than in other Australian capital cities.
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The valuations for our Sydney properties also dropped slightly, but so far Sydney property prices are holding up slightly better than in other Australian capital cities.
Assets___________$ Amount______$ Diff_____% Diff Stocks_*_________-$52,589____-$11,377______n/a % Retirement_______$347,483____-$13,817____-3.82 % Properties_______$975,738_______-$533____-0.05 % Debts____________$ Amount_____$ Diff_____% Diff Home Mortgage(s)_$359,614______-$455_____-0.13 % Net Worth________$910,748____-$25,272____-2.70 %* the Stocks figure is portfolio value - margin loans. As my portfolio value (and margin loan debt) is around $500,000 relatively small movements in the stock market produce huge percentage swings in the net value of my stock portfolio each month.
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Labels:
Net worth
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Monday, 8 August 2011
Net Worth Update: July 2011
Unfortunately July turned out to be as dismal as May and June. So, if you want any more detailed commentary, just have a look at the May entry again.
My geared stock portfolio dropped further into negative equity, and so far it looks like next months report will be even worse.
Our SMSF also had a bad month, as it is mostly invested in the Vanguard High Growth Fund and some ASX200 CFDs (IQ) which are below our entry price. The next month will be even worse, with the CFD investment getting a margin call today, so I had to transfer some more cash from the SMSF bank account into the SMSF Comsec account.
In addition, this month the valuations for our Sydney properties dropped further, and it looks like property prices in Sydney will remain subdued for a while.
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My geared stock portfolio dropped further into negative equity, and so far it looks like next months report will be even worse.
Our SMSF also had a bad month, as it is mostly invested in the Vanguard High Growth Fund and some ASX200 CFDs (IQ) which are below our entry price. The next month will be even worse, with the CFD investment getting a margin call today, so I had to transfer some more cash from the SMSF bank account into the SMSF Comsec account.
In addition, this month the valuations for our Sydney properties dropped further, and it looks like property prices in Sydney will remain subdued for a while.
Assets___________$ Amount______$ Diff_____% Diff Stocks_*_________-$41,482____-$10,189______n/a % Retirement_______$361,300_____-$7,993____-2.16 % Properties_______$976,271_____-$7,510____-0.76 % Debts____________$ Amount_____$ Diff_____% Diff Home Mortgage(s)_$360,069______-$102_____-0.03 % Net Worth________$936,020____-$25,589____-2.66 %* the Stocks figure is portfolio value - margin loans. As my portfolio value (and margin loan debt) is around $500,000 relatively small movements in the stock market produce huge percentage swings in the net value of my stock portfolio each month.
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